Tag Archives: finance

What do we know about People Risk in Financial Services?

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Despite the harsh realities of the 2008 financial crisis, lessons are still being learnt and fines for misbehaviour in the sector continue to abound.

As recently as February 2014 the Financial Conduct Authority issued its ‘largest ever’ fine of £30 million for product mis-selling to the insurance company HomeServe. Tracey McDermott, the FCA’s director of enforcement and financial crime stated ‘the firm’s culture, controls and remuneration structures meant that staff were focussed on quantity not quality.’ In Ireland we have seen the commencement of legal action against senior individuals of banks. In other countries such proceedings have concluded.

Following our successful inaugural seminar in December 2013, this seminar will focus upon behavioural issues and the paradox of employees being both the most important asset to a financial institution but also its major source of risk.

In co-ordination with Trinity College, Dublin the seminar brings together inspiring people from the disciplines of human resource management, law, finance and business to share their perspectives and learn from each other.

Keynote speaker

Dr Pat McConnell, Honorary Fellow at the Macquarie University Applied Finance Centre. Dr McConnell is an expert in People Risk, Systemic Operational Risk and the Strategic Risks faced by Systemically Important Financial Institutions. He will be discussing his paper: ‘Systemic People Risk – the Final Frontier?’

Dr McConnell will be joined by:

Professor Ruth Byrne, Professor of Cognitive Science at Trinity College Dublin who will discuss: ‘Framing Effects in Reasoning about the Moral Acceptability of Risky Choices

Professor Blanaid Clarke, who holds the McCann FitzGerald Chair in Corporate Law at Trinity College Dublin. Professor Clarke will present her paper: ‘Board Directors: What can we Expect of Them?

Dr Michael Dowling, Lecturer in finance in Dublin City University, Ireland will present his work on Irish banks: ‘From Hubris to Nemesis: Irish Banks, Behavioural Biases, and the Crisis

Dr Mary Keating, Associate Professor at the School of Business at Trinity College Dublin, will present her research regarding ethical leadership: ‘The Meaning of Leader Integrity

Wednesday 26 March 2014
09:30 to 16:00
Institute of Bankers in Ireland
IFSC
1 North Wall Quay
Dublin 1

Attendance is FREE but the seminar is strictly limited so please book early.

We have a limited number of small travel bursaries available for attendees and a few bursaries to cover travel expenses for PhD students. Please indicate if you want to be considered for a bursary when you register by emailing Dr Cormac Bryce: cormac.bryce@nottingham.ac.uk

Register at

www.nottingham.ac.uk/business/businesscentres/crbfs/esrc/registrationform.aspx

With grateful thanks from the Economic and Social Research Council

esrc

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Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance : First Issue

JBEF FINAL Cover Design Aug32012The first issue a new journal is always an exciting time, the more so when one is the Editor.  Today we see such, with the launch of a new journal, with my good self as the Editor.  The aim of the Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance  is to provide a single place for the intersection of two distinct fields; finance (in the broadest sense) and behavioral/experimental approaches. The first few papers are now online

Finance is now mature as a discipline, and behavioral / experimental economics has achieved a solid status. Yet, despite growing usage of the experimental toolkit in finance and the growth of learned associations in the area no journal existed as an outlet dedicated to this endeavor. Similarly behavioral approaches have become common as lenses through which to view financial issues, and while there do exist some journals it is clear that this is a field that is underserved. Cynics will no doubt suggest that paper never refused ink, but the reality is that as knowledge expands so too does the need to publicise and critique it. The days when a learned person could encompass the leading edge of scientific thinking by reading the Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society are long gone.

Academic peer reviewed journals are, for all their problems and issues, at the very core of how researchers communicate in the modern academy. This is likely to remain the case for a considerable period of time.  The quality and impact of a journal depends on its authors, its readers and on its editorial processes. I believe that this journal has the potential to very rapidly become a leading outlet.  I am fortunate to be supported by an extremely talented team at Elsevier, led by the publisher Jagna Mirska-Ghent. In many respects it was her vision that led to the creation of the journal, shepherded by Marc Chahin. The editorial board contains many persons who have authored key papers in behavioral and experimental finance, as well as industry representatives. It is, I believe, vital that a discipline such as finance, which in my view must be a supportive function of business not just a mere end in itself, we in the academy keep in regular touch with industry and vice versa. The editorial board and I warmly welcome submissions from industry.

This first issue contains papers that I believe give a good indication of the breadth we wish to cover in the journal.   We welcome papers that address questions in corporate finance, asset pricing, financial econometrics, international finance, personal financial decision making, macro-finance, banking and financial intermediation, capital markets, risk management and insurance, derivatives, quantitative finance, corporate governance and compensation, investments, market mechanisms, SME, microfinance and entrepreneurial finance, where such research is carried out with a behavioral perspective and/or is carried out via experimental methods. Social and management sciences cannot be effectively investigated with one approach only, and there is no one correct model nor method. In the wake of the Global Financial Crisis modern economics, macro and finance in particular, have come under well justified criticism for too narrow a focus both in terms of approach and model. We trust that over time this journal will assist in creating a more open environment

So what is in the first issue? Over the next few days papers will start to appear on the site. With a plea towards  openness. Aggarwal and Goodell, in their paper, note that in finance and to some extent in accounting researchers need to look for inspiration beyond where we have traditionally looked. The role of national culture as a mediating factor in exchanges is well accepted in many social sciences, but is only very recently being introduced in finance. They plea for this gap to be filled showing how cultural perspectives have greatly aided international business and management scholarship.

Two papers review historical aspects of behavioral finance. Branch draws parallels with institutionalism, the failure of which to thrive despite having some decades where it was seen as the wave of the future should suggest to us that nothing is given. Although Thaler (1999) may be right that in the end there will be no behavioral finance as “economists will routinely incorporate as much behavior into their models as they observe in the real world”, the failure of institutionalism should give us pause.  Larkin delves much further back into history and philosophy, reminding us that it is in fact only relatively recently that the centrality of the human was sidelined in economics. Finance as an outgrowth of economics suffered due to it coming to growth just at the time that the human was least integrated in economics.

Seiler shows how money illusion, in a real estate setting, impacts on bubble formation. He demonstrates that with careful framing this money illusion can be mitigated.  The inflation and collapse of real estate bubbles has been a recurrent feature and one that arguably precipitated many aspects of the crisis, and any paper that sheds light on how to slow the formation of a future bubble should be warmly welcomed.

Fullbrunn and Haruvy , and also Sonsino and Shavit provide us with experimental papers. Fullbrunn and Haruvy shows how dividend signaling emerges in a market subject to takeover bids, a variant of the investment game.  Sonsino and Shavit examines the effect of the financial crisis on portfolio formation, finding that the “misperception of risk” issue raised by Shefrin dominates the thinking of investors.

Superstition should, in traditional finance, have little if any role to play in the pricing of stocks.  Despite this there have been numerous papers that have demonstrated some influence. Auer and Rottmann investigate  two such issues – the Friday the 13th effect and tetraphobia (fear of the number 4). They find mixed evidence but conclude that in their sample of Asian markets there is little strong support for superstition influencing the markets .

We conclude the first issue with two papers on sentiment. Pownall and Borgers paper is conceptually linked to Sonsino, in that both examine attitudinal impacts on investment. They find, using Dutch data, that investment in socially responsible stocks emerges less as a rational economic decision and more as a way to show an individuals solidarity with the aims of the funds. Brooks et al also examine sentiment, around disposals, finding that investors focus on the announcements rather than on the reportage of the announcements.

Thaler, Richard H. “The end of behavioral finance.” Financial Analysts Journal (1999): 12-17.

The Great Depression, The Great Recession… Ireland then and now

The Great Depression, The Great Recession... Ireland then and now

There is an interesting paper from Reinhart and Rogoff : see here  on how in some countries the effects of banking crises can be very long lasting and deep. Just in case you hadnt noticed.
The picture is of IRish GDP per capita growth in 1990 $. Up to 2010 its taken from the Maddison database and I then updated.

Among their findings are

a significant part of the costs of these crises lies in the protracted and halting nature of the recovery. On average it takes about eight years to reach the pre-crisis level of income; the median is about 6 ½ years.
Yep..

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Take part in an experiment, help a student, maybe win €100

If you have a free morning on Wednesday 11 July and want to help a masters student and perhaps win €100 into the bargain, then come along to the Maxwell Theatre 10-13h.
The experiment consists of a number of rounds of trading shares with periodic news updates coming during the trading. The objective is to look at some issues in gender, confidence and trading and will form part of the masters dissertation of a MSc Finance student, Kiril. The Maxwell is in the Hamilton building in TCD http://www.tcd.ie/Maps/map.php